作者简介
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowl edge , and he has led three high-pro file care ers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University’s Polytechnic Institute. His work has been published in thirty-three languages.
内容简介
在发现澳大利亚的黑天鹅之前， 欧洲 人认为天鹅都是白色的，“黑天鹅”曾经是欧洲人言谈与 写作 中的惯用语，用来指不可能存在的事物，但这个不可动摇的信念随着第一只黑天鹅的出现而崩溃。
黑天鹅的存在寓意着不可预测的重大稀有事件，它在意料之外，却又改变一切。 人类 总是过度相信经验，而不知道一只黑天鹅的出现就足以颠覆一切。然而，无论是在对股市的预期，还是政府的 决策 中，黑天鹅都是无法预测的。“9•11”事件、 美国 的次级贷危机、我国的雪灾，都是如此。
生活 中，随机性随处可见，在 资本 市场 也是一样。人们总是以自己有限的生活经验和不堪一击的信念来解释不可预测的事件；即便是精于算计的专业人士，也难保不被随机性愚弄，其实我们应该做的是顺应这种不可知的 未来 。《The Black Swan》会教你改变自己的 思维 方式，把握黑天鹅带来的机会，采取应对策略，从中受益。这《The Black Swan》将改变我们对 世界 、 人性 和金钱的看法。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguishe...
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